PRESIDENTIAL RESULTS BY CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

  • This is a project of nationwide scope and the final results are relied upon by academics and political observers around the nation. In the past this project has been undertaken by POLIDATA in conjunction with several Washington-based entities.
  • Our thanks once again to the sponsors and patrons of the 2008 project listed below.
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    Results NOW AVAILABLE for the Presidential election compiled for Congressional Districts of the 111th Congress.
      The results of the Presidential election compiled for Congressional Districts can provide a very useful indicator of the political behavior of all 435 districts of the U.S. House. The use of such an indicator is especially useful for several reasons.
      1. UNCONTESTED ELECTIONS. Many elections for Congress are basically uncontested, increasingly moreso as redistricting focuses on incumbency and delegation continuity. This indicator helps assess base partisan strength.
      2. POLITICAL POSITIONING. An indicator helps assess the electoral/political position of a member of the House vis-a-vis the President. This is often important for critical floor votes.
      3. TURNOUT ANALYSIS. The results allow for a more even analysis of voter turnout amongst all districts. Whereas all districts start out the redistricting decade with basically the same number of persons, even then the number of potential voters can be significantly different. This difference is exacerbated as the decade proceeds, both from population shifts and registration factors.
      For Presidential by Congressional District Report Options click here.
      HIGHLIGHTS FROM 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, and 2008
      Factor: 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
      [A] Districts won by Dem Pres 256 for Clinton 280 for Clinton 207 for Gore 180 for Kerry 242 for Obama
      [B] Districts won by GOP Pres 179 for George H.W. Bush 155 for Dole 228 for George W. Bush 255 for George W. Bush 193 for McCain
      [C] GOP Districts won by Dem Pres 50 for Clinton 91 for Clinton 40 for Gore 18 for Kerry 34 for Obama
      [D] Dem Districts won by GOP Pres 53 for George H.W. Bush 19 for Dole 46 for George W. Bush 41 for George W. Bush 49 for McCain
      [E] Net for National Winner -2 for Clinton +73 for Clinton +7 for Bush +23 for Bush -15 for Obama
      [F] Most Votes Cast for President 363,716 317,121 369,844 418,511 457,876
      [G] Fewest Votes Cast for President 53,398 61,011 76,762 107,825 108,507
      [H] Highest % for Dem Pres 87.0% for Clinton 93.5% for Clinton 92.9% for Gore 89.7% for Kerry 94.8% for Obama
      [I] Highest % for GOP Pres 63.5% for George H.W. Bush 67.4% for Dole 79.0% for George W. Bush 78.0% for George W. Bush 76.7% for McCain
      [J] Highest % for Independent 33.2% for Perot 16.0% for Perot 13.4% for "Others" N/A for "Others" 3.4% for "Others"
      [K] Average % for Dem Pres 44.1% for Clinton 50.3% for Clinton 49.6% for Gore 49.0% for Kerry 53.7% for Obama
      [L] Average % for GOP Pres 37.4% for George H.W. Bush 40.0% for Dole 46.8% for George W. Bush 50.0% for George W. Bush 44.9% for McCain
      [M] Average % for Ind Pres 18.5% for Perot 8.2% for Perot 3.5% for "Others" 0.7% for "Others" 1.4% for "Others"
      Note 1. High/Low Turnout based upon states with more than one district.
      Note 2. Independents in the House may be excluded from some counts.
    • In order to produce these numbers, we need to collect data at the local level. Very few counties, and even fewer states, automatically tabulate the results for the Presidential election by this level of political geography. The first phase of this project is to collect the raw information to compile these numbers.
    • Notes for the collection of data for Presidential Results by Congressional Districts can be found here.
      Previous projects in which Polidata has been involved in this compilation include 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004. Data and books for most years are available. Some basic data for 1992-2000 can be reviewed at our at the bottom of each state publication page.

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