PREFACE:
Apparently confusion continues amongst researchers and political observers as to the derivation of these numbers.
Please bear in mind the following:
Only a few states compile the results of the Presidential Election by Congressional District.
Therefore, data must be collected from local election offices. This normally means precinct-level election results.
There are 450 counties that include a portion of more than one congressional district.
There are only a handful of projects that bother to undertake this months-long project.
While commercial enterprises are involved in these projects, this is not a big money project.
Also, due to the presence of split precincts and centrally counted absentee and early votes,
there may not be a hard-and-fast number for some districts and there may be slight variations
amongst the few sources for these data.
POLIDATA has been involved with the development of these data since 1984.
You can help to continue the development of these projects by
Purchasing POLIDATA reports, maps and datasets here or at our CafePress store.
AND by subscribing to the publications of our sponsors.
PROJECT SUMMARY:
Although most of the votes will be accounted for shortly,
only the preliminary results of this project are being released now.
Final results with vote calculations will require a bit more time to review.
Reasons for this include both the lack of complete information from a handful of counties,
and the time to fully process and analyze these data, especially in areas with
a) split precincts,
b) centrally counted absentee/early votes that are not assigned to precincts,
c) uncontested congressional races not on the ballot.
In the past, this final phase of the project has not been completed before May or June.
However, in order to satisfy the numerous requests for this information,
it seemed best to get the preliminary results out, even if the percentages may change somewhat or,
even if a district, or two, changes categories.
This year's project is also complicated by tabulation of the vote for the minor party candidates.
This was sporadic at best for this first phase of the project, where the main mission was to determine the winner, i.e.,
Bush or Kerry.
Below are the report options for interested researchers:
PRESS RELEASE
Highlights of the results in a 1 page release.
This includes an analytical overview & national summary but does not include a member listing.
Availability: March 25, 2005.
MEMBER LISTING
A listing of all districts in state/district order. A subset of the Preliminary Report (see below).
For students only.
Cost: $15.00.
Availability: March 25, 2005.
Email to order
or fax your purchase order to 202-318-0793.
PRELIMINARY REPORT
A review of the project and highlights of the results.
The 128 page report includes the results with percentages for President in 2004 as well as
for President in 2000 for districts of the 109th Congress.
The report includes summaries for the Nation, for States, and for Census Regions and Divisions.
It does not include vote totals.
Several rankings of all districts are included:
State & District Order
Alpha by Member
Bush 2004 Percentage
Kerry 2004 Percentage
Presidential Margin (%) in 2004
Bush 2000 Percentage
Gore 2000 Percentage
Presidential Margin (%) in 2000
2004 Bush Democrats
2004 Kerry Republicans
See sample pages for the
Presidential Results by Congressional District Preliminary Report here.
Cost: $75.00 (plus $5.00 for s/h; email your FEDEX account number for overnight.)
Availability: March 25, 2005.
Email to order
or fax your purchase order to 202-318-0793.
($50 of the cost of the Preliminary Report may be applied to either the Full Report or the Book, see below.)
ONLINE ACCESS
Full access to the Preliminary Report for
Presidential Results by Congressional District
on the POLIDATA website.
Cost: $55.00.
Availability: March 25, 2005.
Email to order
or fax your purchase order to 202-318-0793.
A USERNAME & PASSWORD will be emailed to you receipt of payment.
FULL REPORT-BOOK
Volume 2 in our Presidential Set for 2004.
A complete book-length compilation of the results for both Congress and President for 2004
with national and state maps and rankings as well as Standalone Mini-Reports for each state.
Est Price: $155.50
Availability: Sep 2005.
Email to order.
FULL REPORT-BOOK AND DATASET
All of the information in the Preliminary Report including a file with votes by district for your own analysis.
Includes estimated votes by district for Bush and Kerry.
We are still reviewing how to handle the votes for the 4 minor party candidates
(Nader, Badnarik, Peroutka, and Cobb) as coverage may vary by state and county.
Est. Price: $225.50.
Availability: Sep 2005.
Email to order.
ONLINE REFERENCE
We have worked on this project for 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000 and 2004.
Data and books for some previous years may be available.
Some of these data are available via our
ONLINE REFERENCE PAGES.
Click on a state and towards the bottom of each state page you will find several reports.
See the PRCD Project Page for notes on the processing of the data.
PAYMENT OPTIONS
We will accept Purchase Orders from institutions. Please fax to 202-318-0793.
We also accept PayPal. This free service allows you to use your own PayPal account or a credit card.
Our email address for payment is sales@polidata.org.
Checks: Payable to POLIDATA. Please mail to 3112 Cave Court, Suite B, Lake Ridge, VA 22192.
